The Effects of the Free Trade Agreements and
Global Trade Deficits on the United States Economy in 2012.

© 2013

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United States Free Trade Agreements 2011.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary Introduction Domestic Manufacturing
Global Trade Oil China
Free Trade Agreements Combined Australia Bahrain
CAFTA-DR Costa Rica Dominican Republic
El Salvador Guatemala Honduras
Nicaragua Chile Colombia
Israel Jordan Morocco
NAFTA Canada Mexico
Oman Panama Peru
Singapore South Korea Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Atlantic Free Trade Agreement Corporate Taxation Employment
Sources Data Miscellaneous

Australia

Australia’s population at the end of 2010 was about 22.7 million, or about one seventh that of the United States. This puts the working population at roughly 11 million, or about half of the total population. Australia’s manufacturing is not strong, not because of outsourcing, but because of the smaller working population and limited land use because of laws protecting Aboriginal territories.

Australia is an economically developed country and has been thriving for a few decades. There are American manufacturers in Australia, but for use on the continent, not for exporting to the U.S. This is where the argument by ex-patriot corporations that says "we are making our products closer to our customers" is actually legitimate as Australians have the individual financial ability to purchase many of the products they make.

Our Free Trade Agreement with Australia started on January 1, 2005. Without exception we have had a trade surplus with Australia every year since 1985. Our trade with Australia is not as detrimental as it is with other countries for four primary reasons; resources, transportation, labor and environmental regulations none of which are any more important than the others. The cost of labor in Australia is very close to that of the U.S. because the labor laws are very similar as well, as are the environmental regulations.

Although our trade surplus with Australia may be good for us, it may not be good for them. Most of what we import from Australia is not branded as American products; although some of these imports are trans-shipped from the South West Pacific and South East Asian countries. We don’t export a lot of raw materials to make finished American products, we export things that supplements Australia’s economy, not builds it.

We trade with Australia because of mutual wants and needs. American corporations in all sectors want to do business in and with Australia, and Australians want to do business with the United States. This is an economic arraignment that benefits both countries, not one over the other. What we import from Australia is vastly different than what we import from most of our other FTA partners.

What we never or hardly ever hear about are labor disputes. There are labor unions in Australia. It is an argument that also seems to be strongly expressed in the U.S.; that labor unions have destroyed the U.S. economy and these should be limited to the point of being outlawed. Again, if labor was the issue as claimed, American manufacturing would not be present in Australia as well as many European countries. This again goes to show that the assertion that the cost of labor makes it forbidding for manufacturing in the United States baseless.

We did import some semi-finished products in 2011. Some of this will become finished products to be exported to other countries; some of these will also become finished products and exported back to Australia. Most of what we imported was meat, poultry and other food animals. There are American corporations in Australia from different manufacturing sectors such as automotive and food processing; most of these are used within the country and some are exported. Much of what we exported to Australia was for use by U.S. manufacturers within the country.

The number one product group we imported from Australia was meet products, almost twice the number two product of non-steel metal products. Some of what was imported in 2011 from Australia were trans-shipment inventories from our future Trans-Pacific Partnership countries. These are the top 20 imports from Australia for 2011.

Product Group Australia Imports FTA Imports Percent of FTA Imports
Meat products, poultry, and edible animals 1,254,080,086 5,929,051,956 21.15%
Finished metal shapes & advncd manuf, except steel 662,965,345 6,465,097,275 10.25%
U.S. goods returned, and reimports 604,500,065 16,325,594,455 3.70%
Wine and related products 558,231,534 2,831,849,523 19.71%
551,562,139 14,735,281,083 3.74%
Iron and steel mill products-semifinished 531,904,897 7,399,011,402 7.19%
Nickel 504,471,295 1,821,693,199 27.69%
Other scientific, medical and hospital equipment 492,359,789 9,765,547,908 5.04%
Crude 373,971,713 125,114,424,632 0.30%
Nuclear Fuel Materials and Fuels 358,475,922 1,343,556,435 26.68%
Parts for civilian aircraft 291,456,462 3,320,653,891 8.78%
Industrial inorganic chemicals 288,600,292 2,819,306,751 10.24%
Steelmaking and ferroalloying materials-unmanufacd 266,567,282 3,637,042,852 7.33%
Numismatic coins 210,030,442 1,878,439,189 11.18%
Other (clocks, port typewriters, oth household gds 208,455,992 16,848,119,313 1.24%
Feedstuff and foodgrains 180,140,674 2,879,334,566 6.26%
Nonmonetary gold 164,708,810 13,780,797,834 1.20%
Other parts and accessories 156,842,330 43,142,205,742 0.36%
Other industrial machinery 142,678,514 10,879,838,119 1.31%
Other precious metals 116,490,882 7,256,480,592 1.61%

Our top 20 exports5 to Australia are pleasing to look at, but these are deceptive also. When we look at what was imported from our other FTA partners and China, it is very blatant as to what we trans-shipped to Australia. This makes our export and GDP look very prosperous. That is not to say we aren’t exporting "Made in USA" or "Assembled in USA" products. Some of the partially or wholly "Made in USA" products would be excavating and agricultural equipment, toiletries and cosmetics, fertilizers and previously stated aircraft parts. What wasn’t made in the United States is easy to see; telecommunications, cars and parts, household goods and electrical apparatus, most of which would have come from Canada, China and Mexico. What makes these less valuable to the U.S. economy is that the products would have been held at a logistics facility at or near a port for exporting.

Product Group Australia Exports FTA Exports Percent of FTA Exports
Materials handling equipment 1,752,712,144 9,816,801,962 17.85%
Civilian aircraft, engines, equipment, and parts 1,719,366,773 16,635,208,075 10.34%
Excavating machinery 1,450,097,120 10,583,639,977 13.70%
Medicinal equipment 1,142,759,705 8,641,382,598 13.22%
Minimum value shipments 1,123,879,267 14,084,425,703 7.98%
Telecommunications equipment 972,509,381 15,849,431,940 6.14%
Passenger cars, new and used 909,470,688 19,154,245,716 4.75%
Industrial machines, other 856,316,484 21,244,770,772 4.03%
Industrial engines 822,555,261 11,938,874,755 6.89%
Agricultural machinery, equipment 808,512,268 5,021,961,810 16.10%
Pharmaceutical preparations 9,654,905,495 8.30%
Other household goods 720,527,929 8,381,979,897 8.60%
Other parts and accessories of vehicles 654,583,668 39,045,176,312 1.68%
Nonmonetary gold 643,087,415 3,090,861,216 20.81%
Chemicals-organic 474,739,329 14,010,110,215 3.39%
Electric apparatus 463,383,773 21,267,718,818 2.18%
Chemicals-fertilizers 462,896,635 4,224,142,568 10.96%
Petroleum products, other 445,351,838 35,837,943,882 1.24%
Chemicals-other 431,426,558 11,597,984,068 3.72%
Toiletries and cosmetics 428,704,430 5,100,249,794 8.41%

As previously stated, we have had a trade surplus with Australia since 1985. There have been two major spikes of exports to Australia; the first was from 1994 to 1996, followed by a major drop that extended through 2001. After a three year partial stabilization, starting in 2004 and continuing through 2011 our exports to Australia have increased dramatically year-over-year. Our exports of foreign made products to Australia contributed to keeping our overall trade deficits down. Had the American branded products actually been "Made in USA", the U.S. manufacturing sector would still not be as strong as it was towards the end of the 1970’s.

We will continue to have a trade surplus with Australia provided the Trans-Pacific Partnership does not come to fruition. Because the of the geographically close proximity to Australia the countries with which the TPP will include will be able to trans-ship products through Australia, our trade surplus will become trade a deficit.

2011 marked the highest trade surplus with Australia at almost $17.3 billion, a $4 billion increase over 2010. Except for Singapore, no other country kept our FTA deficits down. If it weren’t for the surpluses with Australia, the years 1991 through 1994 would have had greater deficits; 1992 was our only year of a surplus with our FTA partners was due to the $5.2 billion surplus we had with Australia. No other FTA partner country will provide us with this amount of trade balance.

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Import/export data for Global Trade can be obtained from:
Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Census Bureau - Foreign Trade.